econ p.i. logo

Quick, unbiased view of the economy...

"Insensibly one begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of theories to suit facts."        — Sherlock Holmes, A Scandal in Bohemia
Business Cycle Indicators:

Business cycle indicators move closely with the business cycle, increasing during the beginning of a growth cycle and decreasing as the business cycle ages and moves towards a recession.

Main Street indicators:
Measure business activity, employment, investment, and spending. Main Street indicators move with the business cycle, peaking and declining prior to recessions. 

Wall Street indicators: Signal increasing financial stress that occurs prior to credit crunches and recessions.


Main Street:

Adjusted real corporate profits: 1Q 2016
Corporate Profits

Building permits
Update coming soon 

Job openings

Update coming soon

 Vehicle sales - May '16
Vehicles Sales

Real net private investment - Revised 1st Quarter 2016

Net Private Investment

Real retail sales per capita - May '16

Retail Sales 1

Temporary workers - May '16
Temp Workers

Unemployment weekly claims - Mar. '16
Unemployment Claims 1


Composite (Wall St./Main St.):

St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index and Chicago Fed National Activity Index
St. Louis Fed Fin Stress


Wall Street:

Yield curve - May 2016
Yield Curve 1

Effective junk bond yields
Bond Yields 1

 

Contact                    About                    Terms of Use                    Privacy Policy           

Copyright © 2015 - All rights reserved