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Quick, unbiased view of the economy...

"Insensibly one begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of theories to suit facts." 

— Arthur Conan Doyle, A Scandal in Bohemia

Road to Recession

 

Click on the arrows to see how the economy progressed towards the 2007 (top) and 2001 (bottom) recessions. The mean of coordinates (MoC) is the average of all plotted points. It signals the overall health of the economy. The leading indicator coordinates (LD) is the average of the eight leading indicators plotted on the BaR (see FAQ). Recessions occur when the MoC has moved past the peak point of a business cycle and nears the baseline.

2007 Recession
  • 2007-24-Month.png
  • 2007-18-Month.png
  • 2007-15-Month.png
  • 2007-12-Month-a.png
  • 2007-9-Month-a.png
  • 2007-6-Month.png
  • 2007-3-Month.png
  • 2007-1-Month.png
2001 Recession
  • 2001-24-Month-LD.png
  • 2001-18-Month-LD.png
  • 2001-15-Month-LD.png
  • 2001-12-Month-LD.png
  • 2001-9-Month-LD.png
  • 2001-6-Month-LD.png
  • 2001-3-Month-LD.png
  • 2001-1-Month-LD.png

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