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"Insensibly one begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of theories to suit facts."        — Sherlock Holmes, A Scandal in Bohemia
Mapping the Road to Recession

Click on the arrows to see how the economy progressed towards the 2007 (top) and 2001 (bottom) recessions. The mean of coordinates (MoC) is the average of all plotted points. It signals the overall health of the economy. The leading indicator coordinates (LD) is the average of the eight leading indicators plotted on the BaR (see FAQ). These grids have been updated due to improvements in the baseline algorithms of several indicators. 

2007 Recession

  • 2007-1-Month.png
  • 2007-3-Month.png
  • 2007-6-Month.png
  • 2007-9-Month.png
  • 2007-12-Month.png
  • 2007-15-Month.png
  • 2007-18-Month.png
  • 2007-24-Month.png


2001 Recession

  • 2001-1-Month-LD.png
  • 2001-3-Month-LD.png
  • 2001-6-Month-LD.png
  • 2001-9-Month-LD.png
  • 2001-12-Month-LD.png
  • 2001-15-Month-LD.png
  • 2001-18-Month-LD.png
  • 2001-24-Month-LD.png

 

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