Just the facts...
| Baseline and Rate of Change (BaR) Analysis Grid© |
| The BaR Analysis Grid© clarifies current economic conditions and signals how near the economy is to a recession. The mean of coordinates (MoC) is the average of all plotted points. It indicates the overall health of the economy. Click here to learn how to read the BaR grid. The BaR is updated every Friday. |
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| Click on arrows to see how the current business cycle has progressed since the last recession. |
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| Updates: 11/12 to 11/16: Small business optimism, real retail sales per capita, industrial production, and industrial capacity utilization; 11/5 to 11/9 - ISM nonmanufacturing, nonfarm job openings, nonfarm hires, and total vehicle sales; 10/29 to 11/2 - Consumer sentiment, St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index, unemployment claims, yield curve spread, ISM manufacturing, Credit Managers' Index, temporary employment. |
| The Percent MoC from Baseline table identifies trends for each indicator and for the MoC. Updated November 16. Next update November 30. |
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| The problem with putting two and two together is that sometimes you get four, and sometimes you get twenty-two.” ― Nick Charles, The Thin Man |
