Just the facts...
| Baseline and Rate of Change (BaR) Analysis Grid© |
| The BaR Analysis Grid© clarifies current economic conditions and signals how near the economy is to a recession. The mean of coordinates (MoC) is the average of all plotted points. It indicates the overall health of the economy. Leading indicators (LD) are a subset of indicators that provide insight into emerging trends (business cycles are comprised of multiple mini-cycles). Click here to learn how to read the BaR grid. The BaR is updated every Friday. |
| Copyright © 2017 - 2019 econpi.com All Rights Reserved |
| Click on arrows to see how the current business cycle has progressed since the last recession. |
|
| Data updates: 12/2 to 12/6: University of Michigan consumer sentiment, yield curve spread, ISM manufacturing, Credit Managers' Index, ISM nonmanufacturing, St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index, unemployment claims, and temporary employment |
| Percent from Baseline: 3-Month and 1-Year Trends |
| The MoC continues its gradual decline, but remains well above the baseline. Updated 11/27. Next update 12/17. To see previous tables go here. |
 |
| Current Business Cycle Rolling 3-Month Average Through Oct. '19; Updated 12/6/19 (See other business cycles) |
 |
 |
| The problem with putting two and two together is that sometimes you get four, and sometimes you get twenty-two.” ― Nick Charles, The Thin Man |
