Just the facts...
|Baseline and Rate of Change (BaR) Analysis Grid©|
|By plotting 19 key economic indicators in its unique format (read more here), the BaR Analysis Grid© presents an accurate representation of the economy, clarifying current economic conditions and signalling how near the economy is to a recession. The mean of coordinates (MoC) is the average of all plotted points. It signals the overall health of the economy. Click here to learn more about the BaR grid.
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|Click on arrows to see the BaR Analysis Grid© from most recent to June 2009.
4Q 2017 added to business cycle grid. Go here.
|To see how a business cycle is represented on the BaR Analysis Grid©, go here. To see how the economy progresses towards a recession, go here. The economic indicators used and their baselines are shown here.
Updates 2/12 - 2/16: Small business optimism, industrial production, capacity utiliztion, vehicle sales, real retail sales per captia, job openings per 100 workers, hires per 100 workers.
|The problem with putting two and two together is that sometimes you get four, and sometimes you get twenty-two.” ― Nick Charles, The Thin Man|